well, as an educated guess I would say 12 to 18 months, but even that is wishful thinking for the development of a new “complex” product.
And, as usual from chatterbox Bob
, a lot more detail for those who would like to gain a sense for how challenging it is to try to bring a “complex” product to a global market:
“Complex” means that the product is not just a simple piece of plastic or a simple electronic device, like a flashlight for sale in an unregulated market. A therapeutic hat product using ICES-PEMF intended for sale in a global market as a regulated medical device is a “complex” product because all of the conditions at the beginning of this sentence, plus the integration of many different mechanical and electronic components, firmware/software, human compatibility considerations in the design, etc.
There are dozens or hundreds of people involved, a lot of money that can suddenly evaporate, major international regulatory hurdles, competing intellectual property, not to mention all of the known and unknown geopolitical instability across the globe that will have a massive and unpredictable impact on global supply chains.
Developing a new product is unlike anything a normal person is familiar with. To gain an intuitive sense for the difficulty and complexity, you can think of it like this:
Imagine you are planning a wedding. But…
The wedding is for many couples involving different people living on different continents who have never met each other before. And you are not quite sure how many couples there are getting married.
They all have different religions and different marriage traditions and taboos.
You have to feed everyone, but you don’t know what they eat, and you don’t know how many of them you need to feed.
Some of these people might already be married or have other hidden legal barriers.
The wedding will snap to a halt if any single one of the gifts does not arrive. The gifts are headed in at different times in different amounts addressed to different people from all corners of the globe.
A large number of different regulatory agencies require you to take detailed pictures of each stage of every wedding, from the time of proposal until the kids get sent off to college.
And you’re not quite sure what the laws and requirements are in each location where you are hosting this coordinated network of weddings.
Meanwhile, several other wedding planners are spying on you and are actively doing everything they can to steal your wedding guests and undermine the massive wedding plan that you are trying to organize.
And all you need to do is plan all of this, find the money, and hold it all together until it actually happens, which could be weeks, months, or years.
My best guess: allow 12 to 18 months, but do not hold your breath.